Will Origin Impact Finally Beat cisek_showalter at Midwest Regionals?


Jesse Showalter of Ohio Against the World dives for a ball during a game in 2016.

No.

Well, I've been wrong before, and my predictions have been notably bad during championship season so far. But I'll stand by that no. Origin Impact (Chris Hornacek and Patrick Drucker) will not be beating cisek_showlter (Tyler Cisek and Peter Jon Showalter) at Midwest Regionals this weekend.

The two have played a number of times (five in bracket play to be exact), and while Impact has been close to stealing a win before, especially in Baltimore in April, they have not closed the deal once this season. I'd be surprised if Impact could find the energy required to put pressure on them in new ways or if cisek_showalter faltered when playing against the team ranked second at this tournament.

But, those two will certainly be the favorites to reach the grand finals; it'll be tough for any other team in attendance to beat either of them once, and near impossible to do so twice.

Last season, the podium was dominated by Origin Roundnet Club teams. This year, it'll be an uphill battle, not only to win but to get more than one team in the top 4, largely because there is parity among the rest of the field. Here's a snapshot:

  • Coming Out of Retirement (Ryan Weiler and Joey Hafertepe) played once this year, at Birch Hill, and placed third. Weiler's serves will put pressure on any competitors on Saturday, and if they can find the defensive energy and offensive consistency they had in May, I predict them to finish in third again.
  • Ohio Against the World (Vinny Bonta and Jesse Showalter) has had an up and down season. Thier best finish was a fourth place finish (and near finals appearance) at the Nashville Grand Slam. Their worst may have been a T-17 finish at the Chicago Grand Slam. Bonta's serve will have to get hot at the right moments and they will need to play exceptionally focused throughout if they want Midwest Regionals to be an up moment rather than a down one.

Logan Cornelius of Tetelestai awaits a serve during a tournament this year.

  • Tetelestai (Logan Cornelius and Jesse Throw) had an incredible third place finish in the Premier Division at the Columbus Tour Stop this season. And they have been good against the other teams they'll have to face Saturday - they have beaten OATW, Origin Force, and Living Weirdos. I'd say it is a toss-up between them and OATW for fourth.
  • Origin Force (Sam Hynes and Kurt Dolson) always seem to do well at the tournaments that no one expects them to do well at and poorly at the ones that they are expected to do well at. After coming off a high of a top 8 finish at Nationals last year, this season has been a little less impressive. Two-fourth place finishes on the Midwest Tour but no wins over other major Midwest foes. I don't see them cracking the top 4, but I already mentioned what seems to happen when they have low expectations.

The Brothers Zimm (Josiah and Micah Zimmerman), Origin Flow (Nick Daub and Mike Priller), Yummy (Tom Cortesi and Joey Connolly), and Living Weirdos (Andrew Graczyk and Chris Wilkins) will all have their work cut out for them if they want to knock off one of these other teams and sniff the top 4. Not impossible for any, but not likely either.

My top 4:

  1. cisek_showalter
  2. Origin Impact
  3. Coming Out of Retirement
  4. Tetelestai

Advanced Division

The Midwest Regionals Advanced Division does not feature as many well-known players and teams as did the West and Southeast equivalents. Still, there are a few front-runners, including:

  • Genies in a Bottle (Michael Zagone and David Aschenbrenner)
  • Origin Gravity (John Lewis and Nick Rankin)
  • Origin Southpaw (Avery Frain and Wyatt Semke)
  • Shorewood Tennis (Joey Pierron and Cal Papineau)
  • Gock City (Drew and Lance Shock)

Zagone has been one of the best complimentary players in the sport for a couple of years - he is a great setter and defender, which bodes well for playing with a new partner. In a similar vein, Pierron makes for a good mashup partner due to his ability as a server. His ability to generate breaks without expending extra energy on defense is an asset to a mashup team.

Both Origin Roundnet Club teams will have a bit more tournament experience together, which could be beneficial in a game that comes down to defense. Gock City also has a good bit of experience and was even on the Power Rankings last season (ranked #25 in August of 2016). They'll be a major contender for a spot in the Premier Division. 

Without too much knowledge of these players (or of the rest of the field), I will withhold my predictions for this division. See the bottom of this post for the results of The Rally's Prediction Poll.

Women's Division

The West Regionals Women's Division produced some interesting results. Notably, MØXIE (Julie Haselton and Jenna Coleman), one of the top women's duos in the country, fell to underrated Whipper Snappers (Sam Calisto and Jordi Vigna) in the grand finals.

MØXIE will be back at it in Chicago. This time, they'll have to take out the top women's team in the country, Ogres Heroes (Alli Kauffman and Becca Witmer).

No one has shown that they can take out the East coast powerhouse. Maybe a loss last weekend will motivate Haselton and Coleman to do what they have been unable to do before, but the smart money is on Ogres Heroes.

While I expect these two to take the first and second spots, the rest of the podium seems to be up for grabs. Will a Midwest women's team also nab a victory over one of the more well-known women's pairs?

Again, without too much knowledge of the rest of the field, I'll withhold my predictions and defer to the Prediction Poll.

Prediction Poll Results

Premier

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th T-5th T-7th Total
cisek_showalter 31 1 0 0 0 0 127
Origin Impact 1 25 5 1 0 0 90
Coming Out of Retirement 0 2 15 3 7 4 43.5
Tetelestai 0 2 4 13 9 4 32.5
OATW 0 2 4 9 13 3 30.25
Origin Force 0 0 2 5 16 3 17.75
The Brothers Zimm 0 0 1 1 8 14 10.5
Living Weirdos 0 0 1 0 2 18 7.5
Origin Flow 0 0 0 0 4 5 3.25
Yummy 0 0 0 0 0 7 1.75

Advanced

Top 4

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total
Gock City 7 2 3 1 41
Shorewood Tennis 6 1 2 3 34
Genies in a Bottle 2 2 1 3 19
Origin Southpaw 2 1 4 0 19
Dragon Thunder 1 3 0 3 16
Origin Gravity 0 4 1 0 14
Koinonia 1 1 0 1 8
Icy Spikes 0 2 0 1 7
Dodgeball Players 1 0 1 0 6
MKE Hotcakes 0 0 2 2 6
Vicorious Secret 0 0 2 1 5

Top 8

Team Votes
Gock City 11
Origin Southpaw 10
Origin Gravity 9
Shorewood Tennis 9
Genies in a Bottle 7
Vicorious Secret 7
Dragon Thunder 6
Dodgeball Players 4
Icy Spikes 4
ThunderCats 4
YX2 4

Women's

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total
Ogres Heroes 23 3 0 0 101
MØXIE 3 23 0 0 81
You've Been Served 0 0 6 4 16
2 Girls 1 Net 0 0 5 5 15
Remember the Name 0 0 3 5 11
Project Rugby Love 0 0 3 2 8
Wingin It' 0 0 3 2 8
The One Where They... 0 0 1 0 2

Got something related to roundnet that you want to know more about? Want to get involved writing previews or recaps for tournaments near you? Contact Anthony Rentsch at anthony.rentsch@gmail.com or @Anthony_Rentsch on Twitter.

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